Time for the Dems to go to Plan B (bend Americans over and give it to them Bawney Fwank style)...
The Hill has been keeping a pretty good whip count of the vote. It suggests Nancy Pelosi has a heck of a job on her hand.
Here's how I see things breaking down.
The Hill has 37 Democrats in the "Firm No, Leaning No, Likely No" category. I agree with 36 of these 37 (Update 12 noon: Or, better put, 36 of 37 seem plausible to me). The only objection I have is Luis Gutierrez, and that's not a criticism of The Hill. He says he's a no, which is why he's there. I think he's going to be a yes when push comes to shove.
Then I go down to their list of Undecideds, and I see plenty who could very well wind up as no votes.